I read a ton of Economic commentary and as such, I can sometimes come across as a “Debbie Downer.” The reason for this is simple.
I like low mortgage rates – I’m constantly looking to see if they are going lower… and in general, as mortgage interest rates move lower, it’s BECAUSE of BAD NEWS in the Economy.
Most people don’t want to read commentary from someone who is delivering more bad news, because they get enough of that from the media. So instead of pointing out that home sales are down, and consumer confidence is off, and the Economist that Obama most listens to (Mark Zandi) thinks we need more jobs to make markets move higher…
Let’s look at the Bright Side of Life!
- Mortgage Rates are at an ALL TIME low. I’m talking lower than World War II when our grandparents all bought houses.
- Housing Prices are at an ALL TIME low. You’ve never been able to get a better deal on Real Estate. That’s a fact I don’t think ANYONE can disagree on!
The question then becomes… are we at the Bottom?
I am a syndicated writer. I write for Zillow and Lender 411, and I’ve been saying lately that”this is not my first rodeo” – meaning, I’ve seen at least 7 other Refinance Booms in my mortgage career. They all follow a pretty predictable path (If you want to know if you should refinance now, click here). Rates get low, they pop back up, they get a bit lower over a gradual period of time, and then one day – they don’t get any lower.
At some point, the banks are just not interested in buying mortgage loans, over a 30 year period, that have rates below a certain percent of profit.
It looks to me like we are there. (Can I Get A Refinance Under 4.25%, click here) I think we are at the bottom of this cycle, and that means if you are waiting for a lower rate, you are wasting valuable time! In a few hours, the ADP jobs numbers will be released, and Friday, August 6th the NonFarm Payroll Numbers will be released.
These reports, if AT ALL positive will likely move mortgage rates higher.
If you want to PURCHASE, and, and, and the moon is right, and you have money to cover your closing costs, and your down payment – you might be able to work out a temporary buy down so that you would have payments starting at 2.5% the first year, 3.5% the next year and 4.5% (4.8 APR) for there on out. But that will be the exception, not the rule. (click here for more info on a 2-1 Buy Down)
So, if you are considering a Home purchase in Raleigh or Cary, or you want to refinance a mortgage in NC – please don’t wait, call Steve and Eleanor Thorne 919-649-5058. We’ve seen these situations before, and you need to act while rates are where you want them to be!
mode20100 says
A+ would read again
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